Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Post #141

Subject: An exit strategy without an exit

The “World Blog” is a service of NBC News – available at msnbc.com – in which reporters from around the world file a local news story, complete with local sources, that have implications for us. Richard Engel, Middle East bureau chief, filed “An exit strategy without an exit” – careful readers of this blog already know about this story. :p

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Nearly half a decade since the big bangs of "Shock and Awe," the United States and the Iraqi government are about to start writing a plan for U.S. forces to exit the war in Iraq, but not the country.

Senior U.S. and Iraqi officials will soon begin negotiating a strategic agreement to answer critical questions about the future role and commitment of U.S. forces in Iraq.

The agreement, being tentatively called the U.S.-Iraq Friendship and Cooperation Agreement, could be the most important bilateral arrangement since the war, setting up U.S.-Iraqi relations for years, if not decades, to come.

American and Iraqi negotiators so far seem to have similar visions for the agreement. Both sides see a long-term U.S. military commitment to support, equip and train Iraqi forces.

On Thursday Iraq’s foreign minister, Hoshar Zebari, one of Iraq’s four principal negotiators, told NBC News the agreement should be finished by July and calls for a new mission for U.S. troops.

"What kind of role does Iraq want the U.S. forces to play?" I asked.

"I think to continue the role of building, supporting and arming the Iraqi security forces, and also to provide support, let’s say, on request in the future because we want our forces to be self reliant to stand on their own," said Zebari. "We cannot continue to rely and depend on the U.S. support indefinitely. I think we can, and we know how, to defend ourselves and how to stand up provided we are given the means."

"So you would like U.S. forces to stay on bases to come out and provide support when they’re asked to do?" I asked.

"I think that’s the idea. Instead of carrying out these daily patrols, exposure, and combat missions, you see, this would be changed. And this is a plus really both for Iraqis and for the American soldiers," he said.

The timing is critical and somewhat controversial. Both U.S. and Iraqi negotiators want to finish the agreement while the Bush administration is still in office. It’s reasonable. They don’t want to start from square one with a new administration.

But critics say the Bush administration is trying to lock the United States into an open-ended military commitment in Iraq before leaving office.

On Thursday, Iraq was putting down markers. Zebari said Iraq wants the agreement to include:

- A U.S. commitment of military support and protection

- Clarification of the legal status of U.S. troops and private security contractors, including Blackwater USA, both currently immune from Iraqi prosecution

- A counter-terrorism partnership

- Continued U.S. training and supplies of military hardware

A senior American negotiator told NBC News that Washington wants the agreement to be flexible and said it will not include details about specific troop levels or permanent U.S. bases in Iraq.

When I asked a senior Iraqi official if the agreement means there will be long-term American bases in Iraq, he said, "This is an agreement of enduring military support. The soldiers are going to have to stay someplace. They can’t stay in the air."

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Now, what makes the “World Blog” so interesting is that ordinary peeps get to add their 2 cents – such as:

“the empire is on it's last legs. it will end just like all the others.”

Ya been reading my blog? :p The decline-and-fall has been going on since 1950 and our involvement in the Korean, uh, Police Action – George W. Bush has only accelerated the coming end.

“This is all going to cost money. How are we going to pay for this? It would be a lot less expensive if we just got out, period. Ron Paul wants to get all of our troops off of foreign soil and put them to work protecting our borders. I think that is a much better idea.”

“What ever long term commitments the Bush Administration is trying to "Commit" us to, I hope the U.S. Congress and the new administration undoes and gets us out of there. The President can not sign accord with other nations without Congressional approval anyway. Then again, we've seen this president try and usurp the U.S. Constitution time and time again. I bet he wishes the U.S. were a Kingdom instead of a Democracy.”

King Weasel – has a nice ring to it, huh?

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